🔍 Week in Review
|
Open
7,408.50
|
Close
7,473.45
|
Weekly Change
↑ 64.95 (+0.88%)
|
|
Our Neutral Friday prediction from Wednesday was correct, with price staying within the expected range.
The Weak Strength prediction was correct, with price staying within 15 handles of Wednesday's close.
📊 Expected Move Analysis
Consecutive Expected Move Touches
Weeks in a row hitting expected move
|
|
|
✓
|
Market insight: Expected move was not touched this week. This is unusual as expected moves are designed to be touched 68% of the time.
|
There are no significant consecutive closes in either the weekly or daily timeframe.
|
|
📊 MEGA0DTE Weekly Scorecard
|
Week of 05/22 — Expected Move Breaches
|
1
Upper breach
|
|
0
Lower breach
|
|
7
No breach
|
■ Breached upper EM ■ Breached lower EM ■ Within range
|
|
Load MEGA0DTE indicator in ThinkorSwim
Levels refreshed Friday close — new EM ranges inside
|
Load indicator → |
|
|
📈 Volatility Analysis
|
Weekly EM 05/29
113.80
| Previous Week: |
136.24 |
↓ 16.5% lower |
| 4-Week Avg: |
117.68 |
↓ 3.3% lower |
| YTD Avg: |
135.91 |
↓ 16.3% lower |
|
|
|
Daily EM 05/25
64.01
| 20-Day Avg: |
47.76 |
↑ 34% higher |
| YTD Avg: |
54.23 |
↑ 18% higher |
|
|
What This Means for the Market
The expansion of daily expected move while weekly expected move remains stable suggests short-term volatility developing within a controlled longer-term environment. This pattern typically occurs when:
- Short-term traders are becoming more active while institutional positioning remains stable
- There are emerging day-to-day catalysts affecting markets
- Intraday liquidity is reducing while longer-term liquidity remains adequate
This environment often indicates a market that's experiencing increasing noise in daily price action without yet affecting the broader trend.
