📊 The Final Tick

🔍 Week in Review

Open
7,473.45
Close
7,580.06
Weekly Change
↑ 106.61 (+1.43%)

Our Bullish Friday prediction from Wednesday was correct, with price closing higher than Wednesday's level.

The Weak Strength prediction was incorrect. A Weak Strength prediction requires the price to stay within 15 handles of Wednesday's close, but it moved more than that.

📊 Expected Move Analysis

Consecutive Expected Move Touches

Weeks in a row hitting expected move

01

Market insight: Expected move has been touched 1 week in a row, which is normal market behavior. Expected moves are designed to be touched approximately 68% of the time.

There are no significant consecutive closes in either the weekly or daily timeframe.

📈 Current SPX-ES Spread: 16.00

Please update your trading indicators accordingly with the new spread

📊 MEGA0DTE Weekly Scorecard

Week of 05/29 — Expected Move Breaches

2
Upper breach
0
Lower breach
5
No breach
AAPL
— Held
NVDA
— Held
TSLA
— Held
MSFT
▲ Upper
GOOGL
— Held
META
▲ Upper
AMZN
— Held

Breached upper EM    Breached lower EM    Within range

Earnings caution: Avoid MEGA0DTE setups on AVGO next week — earnings expected moves override standard EM levels and invalidate the setup.
Load MEGA0DTE indicator in ThinkorSwim
Levels refreshed Friday close — new EM ranges inside
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📅 Upcoming Earnings

Week of May 29 — 7 reports scheduled

Consumer discretionary

DG LULU ULTA

Information technology

CRWD DOCU PANW

Other

AVGO

Full schedule + expected moves
Dates, times & EM levels for all 7

View schedule →

Plot levels in ThinkorSwim
Load earnings EM on your chart

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📈 Volatility Analysis

Weekly EM 06/05
100.92
Previous Week: 113.80 ↓ 11.3% lower
4-Week Avg: 115.52 ↓ 12.6% lower
YTD Avg: 134.32 ↓ 24.9% lower
Daily EM 06/01
46.76
20-Day Avg: 46.68 ↑ 0% higher
YTD Avg: 53.72 ↓ 13% lower

What This Means for the Market

The current volatility environment shows expected moves in a stable to contracting state, with levels close to YTD averages. This typically indicates:

  • Market makers have good control of price action
  • Institutional positioning is relatively balanced
  • There's a consensus view on market direction and risk

These conditions often reflect a market that has found equilibrium between buyers and sellers across different timeframes.