🔍 Week in Review
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Open
7,650.50
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Close
7,743.51
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Weekly Change
↑ 93.01 (+1.22%)
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Our Bullish Friday prediction from Wednesday was correct, with price closing higher than Wednesday's level.
The Neutral Strength prediction was incorrect. A Neutral Strength prediction requires the price to stay within 24.99 points of Wednesday's close, but it moved more than that.
📊 Expected Move Analysis
Consecutive Expected Move Touches
Weeks in a row hitting expected move
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✓
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Market insight: Expected move has been touched 6 consecutive weeks, an extraordinary streak that suggests market makers are consistently calibrating volatility correctly.
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There are no significant consecutive closes in either the weekly or daily timeframe.
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📊 MEGA0DTE Weekly Scorecard
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Week of 09/25 — Expected Move Breaches
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11
Upper breach
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4
Lower breach
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1
No breach
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■ Breached upper EM ■ Breached lower EM ■ Within range
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⚡ $META moved 3.8x its expected move this week (▲ upper breach)
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| △ Earnings caution: Avoid MEGA0DTE setups on MU next week — earnings expected moves override standard EM levels and invalidate the setup. |
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Load MEGA0DTE indicator in ThinkorSwim
Levels refreshed Friday close — new EM ranges inside
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Load indicator → |
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📅 Upcoming Earnings
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Week of September 27 — 1 reports scheduled
Other
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Full schedule + expected moves
Dates, times & EM levels for all 1
View schedule → |
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Plot levels in ThinkorSwim
Load earnings EM on your chart
Load indicator → |
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📈 Volatility Analysis
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Weekly EM 10/02
107.22
| Previous Week: |
97.87 |
↑ 9.6% higher |
| 4-Week Avg: |
106.98 |
↑ 0.2% higher |
| YTD Avg: |
125.29 |
↓ 14.4% lower |
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Daily EM 09/28
47.25
| 20-Day Avg: |
45.61 |
↑ 4% higher |
| YTD Avg: |
51.56 |
↓ 8% lower |
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What This Means for the Market
The current volatility environment shows expected moves in a stable to contracting state, with levels close to YTD averages. This typically indicates:
- Market makers have good control of price action
- Institutional positioning is relatively balanced
- There's a consensus view on market direction and risk
These conditions often reflect a market that has found equilibrium between buyers and sellers across different timeframes.
