PPI vs SPX Expected Move — 2025

Every scheduled Producer Price Index release in 2025 with the S&P 500 close-to-close reaction against the expected move published the day before. Frozen historical results.

PPI RELEASES EXCEEDING EM

3 of 10

30% beat the expected move

AVG EXPECTED MOVE

$52.38

across 10 completed releases

AVG ACTUAL MOVE

$37.31

10 of 10 events · 0.69x avg coverage

How to read this table. Each row is one scheduled Producer Price Index (PPI) release. EM is the expected move published before the release. Actual is the close-to-close change (release-day close minus prior trading day close). The vs EM column shows how far the move reached: a red marker + red ratio means the move met or exceeded the expected move (abs(actual) >= EM) — that's the notable event.

All PPI Releases — 2025

Release	Pre close	EM	Post close	Actual	vs EM
PPI · Jan 14	$5,836.22	$48.15	$5,842.01	+$5.79	0.12x
PPI · Feb 13	$6,051.97	$37.88	$6,115.07	+$63.10	1.67x
PPI · Mar 13	$5,599.30	$63.90	$5,521.52	−$77.78	1.22x
PPI · Apr 11	$5,268.05	$148.39	$5,363.36	+$95.31	0.64x
PPI · May 15	$5,886.55	$39.76	$5,892.58	+$6.03	0.15x
PPI · Jun 12	$6,022.24	$42.65	$6,045.26	+$23.02	0.54x
PPI · Jul 16	$6,243.76	$34.98	$6,263.70	+$19.94	0.57x
PPI · Aug 14	$6,466.58	$32.00	$6,468.54	+$1.96	0.06x
PPI · Sep 10	$6,512.61	$29.00	$6,532.05	+$19.44	0.67x
PPI · Nov 25	$6,705.12	$47.12	$6,765.88	+$60.76	1.29x

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