Expected Move Performance — Q2 2026

In Q2 2026, 50% of HOT-rated earnings exceeded their expected move, vs. 38% for the broader market — an edge of +12 pts. COLD-rated names stayed under their expected move 74% of the time.

• HOT delivered: 6/12
• WARM delivered: 18/38
• COLD stayed under: 20/27
• Total tracked: 77