SPX Expected Move Performance — 2026

In 2026 so far, 57% of weeks touched the pre-open expected-move band (20 of 35 weeks), and 41% of trading days moved at least as much as the previous session's daily expected move. Longest weekly streak: 5 weeks.

Weekly EM touched: 20/35
Daily EM hit rate: 41% (69/169)
Longest weekly streak: 5
Avg weekly EM: 127.38

Past Years Results

📊 Weekly EM 71% (37/52)

📈 Daily EM 35% (88/250)

🔥 Longest streak 10 wks

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📊 Weekly EM 100% (4/4)

📈 Daily EM 47% (8/17)

🔥 Longest streak 4 wks

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