DAITA Earnings Expected Move Results — Q3 2025
73 earnings tracked · 64% HOT hit rate · published before market open
HOT DELIVERED
64%
7 of 11 · +17 pts vs baseline
WARM DELIVERED
50%
18 of 36 · +3 pts vs baseline
COLD STAYED UNDER
46%
12 of 26 stayed within EM
MARKET BASELINE
47%
of all tracked names exceeded EM
TOTAL TRACKED
73
completed earnings in Q3 2025
All Tracked Earnings — Q3 2025
| Ticker | Date | Badge | Expected Move | Actual Move | EM Band | Exceeded EM | Delivered |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 7/10 | COLD | $3.45 | $6.08 | 1.76x | Yes | ✗ |
| JPM | 7/15 | COLD | $10.21 | $2.15 | 0.21x | No | ✓ |
| C | 7/15 | WARM | $3.78 | $3.22 | 0.85x | No | ✓ |
| ASML | 7/16 | HOT | $48.74 | $68.57 | 1.41x | Yes | ✓ |
| NFLX | 7/17 | HOT | $79.61 | $64.93 | 0.82x | No | ✗ |
| PEP | 7/17 | COLD | $5.61 | $10.09 | 1.80x | Yes | ✗ |
| UAL | 7/17 | WARM | $6.37 | $1.03 | 0.16x | No | ✗ |
| TSM | 7/17 | WARM | $10.65 | $8.04 | 0.75x | No | ✓ |
| AXP | 7/18 | WARM | $13.51 | $7.40 | 0.55x | No | ✗ |
| SCHW | 7/18 | WARM | $4.28 | $2.70 | 0.63x | No | ✗ |
| ENPH | 7/22 | WARM | $5.26 | $6.02 | 1.14x | Yes | ✓ |
| LVS | 7/23 | COLD | $2.51 | $2.10 | 0.84x | No | ✓ |
| TSLA | 7/23 | HOT | $24.59 | $27.26 | 1.11x | Yes | ✓ |
| GOOGL | 7/23 | WARM | $10.80 | $1.95 | 0.18x | No | ✗ |
| DECK | 7/24 | WARM | $12.11 | $11.91 | 0.98x | No | ✓ |
| NEM | 7/24 | WARM | $3.51 | $4.24 | 1.21x | Yes | ✓ |
| HON | 7/24 | WARM | $10.10 | $14.79 | 1.46x | Yes | ✓ |
| BX | 7/24 | WARM | $6.43 | $6.15 | 0.96x | No | ✓ |
| RCL | 7/29 | WARM | $19.79 | $20.85 | 1.05x | Yes | ✓ |
| CAR | 7/29 | COLD | $18.06 | $33.58 | 1.86x | Yes | ✗ |
| UNH | 7/29 | HOT | $23.34 | $21.05 | 0.90x | No | ✗ |
| V | 7/29 | COLD | $11.19 | $0.38 | 0.03x | No | ✓ |
| UPS | 7/29 | HOT | $7.14 | $10.74 | 1.50x | Yes | ✓ |
| PYPL | 7/29 | WARM | $5.86 | $6.77 | 1.16x | Yes | ✓ |
| CVNA | 7/30 | COLD | $39.23 | $56.58 | 1.44x | Yes | ✗ |
| META | 7/30 | WARM | $41.36 | $78.23 | 1.89x | Yes | ✓ |
| MSFT | 7/30 | WARM | $18.81 | $20.26 | 1.08x | Yes | ✓ |
| HOOD | 7/30 | COLD | $9.54 | $3.15 | 0.33x | No | ✓ |
| LRCX | 7/30 | WARM | $6.08 | $4.25 | 0.70x | No | ✗ |
| NET | 7/31 | WARM | $16.95 | $7.57 | 0.45x | No | ✗ |
| AAPL | 7/31 | COLD | $6.87 | $5.19 | 0.76x | No | ✓ |
| AMZN | 7/31 | WARM | $15.99 | $19.36 | 1.21x | Yes | ✓ |
| ROKU | 7/31 | WARM | $8.78 | $14.18 | 1.62x | Yes | ✓ |
| COIN | 7/31 | COLD | $21.49 | $63.07 | 2.93x | Yes | ✗ |
| RDDT | 7/31 | COLD | $19.64 | $11.26 | 0.57x | No | ✓ |
| FSLR | 7/31 | COLD | $8.42 | $9.24 | 1.10x | Yes | ✗ |
| MSTR | 7/31 | COLD | $22.72 | $35.23 | 1.55x | Yes | ✗ |
| XOM | 8/2 | WARM | $1.80 | $2.00 | 1.11x | Yes | ✓ |
| CAT | 8/5 | WARM | $18.95 | $0.53 | 0.03x | No | ✗ |
| AMD | 8/5 | WARM | $14.35 | $11.19 | 0.78x | No | ✓ |
| PFE | 8/5 | COLD | $1.16 | $1.22 | 1.05x | Yes | ✗ |
| SMCI | 8/5 | COLD | $7.79 | $10.47 | 1.34x | Yes | ✗ |
| ALAB | 8/5 | COLD | $19.07 | $38.85 | 2.04x | Yes | ✗ |
| MCD | 8/6 | COLD | $10.04 | $8.89 | 0.89x | No | ✓ |
| ELF | 8/6 | WARM | $14.65 | $10.47 | 0.71x | No | ✗ |
| APP | 8/6 | COLD | $52.65 | $46.77 | 0.89x | No | ✓ |
| SHOP | 8/6 | WARM | $13.47 | $27.90 | 2.07x | Yes | ✓ |
| ABNB | 8/6 | COLD | $10.23 | $10.47 | 1.02x | Yes | ✗ |
| WYNN | 8/7 | COLD | $6.57 | $0.82 | 0.12x | No | ✓ |
| DDOG | 8/7 | WARM | $11.67 | $0.58 | 0.05x | No | ✗ |
| TEM | 8/8 | WARM | $6.08 | $2.13 | 0.35x | No | ✗ |
| PANW | 8/18 | COLD | $14.66 | $5.39 | 0.37x | No | ✓ |
| EL | 8/20 | WARM | $9.87 | $3.30 | 0.33x | No | ✗ |
| TGT | 8/20 | HOT | $9.70 | $6.67 | 0.69x | No | ✗ |
| BIDU | 8/20 | COLD | $5.06 | $2.31 | 0.46x | No | ✓ |
| ROST | 8/21 | WARM | $8.68 | $1.63 | 0.19x | No | ✗ |
| WMT | 8/21 | HOT | $4.80 | $4.61 | 0.96x | No | ✗ |
| MDB | 8/26 | HOT | $33.53 | $81.36 | 2.43x | Yes | ✓ |
| NVDA | 8/27 | WARM | $12.29 | $1.43 | 0.12x | No | ✗ |
| ANF | 8/27 | WARM | $12.09 | $1.38 | 0.11x | No | ✗ |
| CRWD | 8/27 | COLD | $32.92 | $19.39 | 0.59x | No | ✓ |
| SNOW | 08/27 | HOT | $22.35 | $40.61 | 1.82x | Yes | ✓ |
| MRVL | 8/28 | COLD | $7.10 | $14.38 | 2.03x | Yes | ✗ |
| DG | 8/28 | WARM | $9.49 | $0.51 | 0.05x | No | ✗ |
| DELL | 8/28 | COLD | $10.44 | $12.03 | 1.15x | Yes | ✗ |
| ULTA | 8/28 | WARM | $35.33 | $37.90 | 1.07x | Yes | ✓ |
| DKS | 8/28 | WARM | $16.76 | $10.93 | 0.65x | No | ✗ |
| BABA | 8/29 | WARM | $7.53 | $15.43 | 2.05x | Yes | ✓ |
| DLTR | 9/3 | HOT | $9.20 | $9.32 | 1.01x | Yes | ✓ |
| LULU | 9/4 | HOT | $24.78 | $38.29 | 1.55x | Yes | ✓ |
| DOCU | 9/4 | WARM | $7.99 | $3.62 | 0.45x | No | ✗ |
| AVGO | 9/4 | COLD | $17.26 | $28.79 | 1.67x | Yes | ✗ |
| COST | 9/25 | WARM | $33.72 | $23.68 | 0.70x | No | ✗ |
See this quarter's DAITA picks before earnings
Every pick above was published before market open. Get the current-quarter list, delivered daily.
Start 14-day free trial →