DAITA Earnings Expected Move Results — Q1 2026
73 earnings tracked · 25% HOT hit rate · published before market open
HOT DELIVERED
25%
3 of 12 · -11 pts vs baseline
WARM DELIVERED
41%
12 of 29 · +5 pts vs baseline
COLD STAYED UNDER
63%
20 of 32 stayed within EM
MARKET BASELINE
36%
of all tracked names exceeded EM
TOTAL TRACKED
73
completed earnings in Q1 2026
All Tracked Earnings — Q1 2026
| Ticker | Date | Badge | Expected Move | Actual Move | EM Band | Exceeded EM | Delivered |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 1/13 | COLD | $4.78 | $1.70 | 0.36x | No | ✓ |
| JPM | 1/13 | COLD | $11.84 | $13.59 | 1.15x | Yes | ✗ |
| C | 1/14 | COLD | $4.68 | $3.89 | 0.83x | No | ✓ |
| TSM | 1/15 | COLD | $13.61 | $14.53 | 1.07x | Yes | ✗ |
| NFLX | 1/20 | HOT | $7.28 | $1.69 | 0.23x | No | ✗ |
| UAL | 1/20 | WARM | $6.45 | $2.39 | 0.37x | No | ✗ |
| SCHW | 1/21 | COLD | $4.16 | $0.80 | 0.19x | No | ✓ |
| UNH | 1/27 | HOT | $22.03 | $68.94 | 3.13x | Yes | ✓ |
| UPS | 1/27 | HOT | $7.12 | $0.23 | 0.03x | No | ✗ |
| META | 1/28 | HOT | $46.62 | $69.58 | 1.49x | Yes | ✓ |
| LVS | 1/28 | COLD | $4.68 | $8.55 | 1.83x | Yes | ✗ |
| TSLA | 1/28 | HOT | $25.48 | $14.89 | 0.58x | No | ✗ |
| MSFT | 1/28 | WARM | $26.38 | $48.13 | 1.82x | Yes | ✓ |
| LRCX | 1/28 | COLD | $18.65 | $8.59 | 0.46x | No | ✓ |
| ASML | 1/28 | HOT | $105.78 | $39.55 | 0.37x | No | ✗ |
| AAPL | 1/29 | COLD | $11.33 | $1.12 | 0.10x | No | ✓ |
| RCL | 1/29 | WARM | $21.58 | $54.38 | 2.52x | Yes | ✓ |
| CAT | 1/29 | WARM | $36.37 | $21.96 | 0.60x | No | ✗ |
| V | 1/29 | COLD | $10.45 | $9.97 | 0.95x | No | ✓ |
| DECK | 1/29 | WARM | $10.97 | $19.44 | 1.77x | Yes | ✓ |
| HON | 1/29 | WARM | $9.77 | $10.60 | 1.08x | Yes | ✓ |
| BX | 1/29 | WARM | $6.63 | $3.85 | 0.58x | No | ✗ |
| XOM | 1/30 | WARM | $3.51 | $0.89 | 0.25x | No | ✗ |
| AXP | 1/30 | WARM | $17.20 | $6.33 | 0.37x | No | ✗ |
| ENPH | 2/3 | WARM | $4.70 | $14.39 | 3.06x | Yes | ✓ |
| PEP | 2/3 | WARM | $6.22 | $7.05 | 1.13x | Yes | ✓ |
| PFE | 2/3 | COLD | $1.01 | $0.76 | 0.75x | No | ✓ |
| AMD | 2/3 | COLD | $20.24 | $41.92 | 2.07x | Yes | ✗ |
| SMCI | 2/3 | COLD | $4.23 | $3.99 | 0.94x | No | ✓ |
| PYPL | 2/3 | WARM | $4.78 | $11.44 | 2.39x | Yes | ✓ |
| ELF | 2/4 | WARM | $13.32 | $7.77 | 0.58x | No | ✗ |
| GOOGL | 2/4 | WARM | $21.47 | $1.79 | 0.08x | No | ✗ |
| RDDT | 2/5 | COLD | $22.78 | $11.22 | 0.49x | No | ✓ |
| EL | 2/5 | WARM | $13.22 | $22.95 | 1.74x | Yes | ✓ |
| MSTR | 2/5 | COLD | $13.90 | $27.94 | 2.01x | Yes | ✗ |
| AMZN | 2/5 | WARM | $18.72 | $12.41 | 0.66x | No | ✗ |
| NET | 2/10 | WARM | $23.02 | $9.43 | 0.41x | No | ✗ |
| HOOD | 2/10 | COLD | $9.24 | $7.53 | 0.81x | No | ✓ |
| ALAB | 2/10 | COLD | $24.72 | $39.15 | 1.58x | Yes | ✗ |
| DDOG | 2/10 | WARM | $16.17 | $15.66 | 0.97x | No | ✓ |
| MCD | 2/11 | COLD | $10.33 | $2.76 | 0.27x | No | ✓ |
| SHOP | 2/11 | WARM | $15.12 | $8.25 | 0.55x | No | ✗ |
| APP | 2/11 | COLD | $68.13 | $89.90 | 1.32x | Yes | ✗ |
| COIN | 2/12 | COLD | $12.71 | $23.23 | 1.83x | Yes | ✗ |
| ROKU | 2/12 | WARM | $11.26 | $7.13 | 0.63x | No | ✗ |
| ABNB | 2/12 | COLD | $9.39 | $5.39 | 0.57x | No | ✓ |
| WYNN | 2/12 | COLD | $6.61 | $5.54 | 0.84x | No | ✓ |
| PANW | 2/17 | COLD | $17.71 | $11.15 | 0.63x | No | ✓ |
| CVNA | 2/18 | COLD | $53.93 | $28.74 | 0.53x | No | ✓ |
| CAR | 2/18 | COLD | $10.51 | $26.56 | 2.53x | Yes | ✗ |
| NEM | 2/19 | WARM | $6.74 | $3.27 | 0.49x | No | ✗ |
| WMT | 2/19 | HOT | $6.97 | $1.75 | 0.25x | No | ✗ |
| TEM | 2/24 | COLD | $5.68 | $4.24 | 0.75x | No | ✓ |
| FSLR | 2/24 | COLD | $21.61 | $33.09 | 1.53x | Yes | ✗ |
| NVDA | 2/25 | COLD | $12.31 | $10.74 | 0.87x | No | ✓ |
| SNOW | 2/25 | HOT | $19.78 | $3.85 | 0.19x | No | ✗ |
| DELL | 2/26 | COLD | $9.13 | $26.60 | 2.91x | Yes | ✗ |
| BIDU | 2/26 | COLD | $8.82 | $7.50 | 0.85x | No | ✓ |
| MDB | 3/2 | HOT | $51.12 | $72.28 | 1.41x | Yes | ✓ |
| CRWD | 3/3 | COLD | $31.07 | $16.26 | 0.52x | No | ✓ |
| TGT | 3/3 | HOT | $9.35 | $7.63 | 0.82x | No | ✗ |
| ROST | 3/3 | WARM | $14.24 | $15.88 | 1.12x | Yes | ✓ |
| ANF | 3/4 | HOT | $13.25 | $3.57 | 0.27x | No | ✗ |
| AVGO | 3/4 | COLD | $24.21 | $15.21 | 0.63x | No | ✓ |
| MRVL | 3/5 | COLD | $7.34 | $13.79 | 1.88x | Yes | ✗ |
| COST | 3/5 | WARM | $28.51 | $15.53 | 0.54x | No | ✗ |
| DG | 3/12 | WARM | $12.26 | $8.89 | 0.73x | No | ✗ |
| ULTA | 3/12 | WARM | $45.06 | $88.98 | 1.97x | Yes | ✓ |
| DKS | 3/12 | WARM | $19.73 | $2.07 | 0.10x | No | ✗ |
| DLTR | 3/16 | WARM | $10.79 | $6.90 | 0.64x | No | ✗ |
| LULU | 3/17 | HOT | $16.36 | $6.12 | 0.37x | No | ✗ |
| DOCU | 3/17 | WARM | $5.32 | $1.36 | 0.26x | No | ✗ |
| BABA | 3/19 | WARM | $7.69 | $9.53 | 1.24x | Yes | ✓ |
See this quarter's DAITA picks before earnings
Every pick above was published before market open. Get the current-quarter list, delivered daily.
Start 14-day free trial →