DAITA Earnings Expected Move Results — Q1 2023
70 earnings tracked · 20% HOT hit rate · published before market open
HOT DELIVERED
20%
2 of 10 · -3 pts vs baseline
WARM DELIVERED
33%
8 of 24 · +10 pts vs baseline
COLD STAYED UNDER
78%
28 of 36 stayed within EM
MARKET BASELINE
23%
of all tracked names exceeded EM
TOTAL TRACKED
70
completed earnings in Q1 2023
All Tracked Earnings — Q1 2023
| Ticker | Date | Badge | Expected Move | Actual Move | EM Band | Exceeded EM | Delivered |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | 1/12 | WARM | $4.00 | $5.22 | 1.31x | Yes | ✓ |
| UNH | 1/13 | WARM | $15.23 | $6.10 | 0.40x | No | ✗ |
| DAL | 1/13 | COLD | $1.81 | $1.40 | 0.77x | No | ✓ |
| JPM | 1/13 | COLD | $4.24 | $3.52 | 0.83x | No | ✓ |
| C | 1/13 | COLD | $1.89 | $0.83 | 0.44x | No | ✓ |
| UAL | 1/17 | WARM | $3.25 | $2.34 | 0.72x | No | ✗ |
| SCHW | 1/18 | COLD | $2.81 | $2.11 | 0.75x | No | ✓ |
| NFLX | 1/19 | HOT | $30.49 | $26.72 | 0.88x | No | ✗ |
| MSFT | 1/24 | WARM | $12.04 | $1.43 | 0.12x | No | ✗ |
| LVS | 1/25 | COLD | $2.62 | $3.35 | 1.28x | Yes | ✗ |
| TSLA | 1/25 | COLD | $13.45 | $16.35 | 1.22x | Yes | ✗ |
| LRCX | 1/25 | COLD | $2.29 | $0.94 | 0.41x | No | ✓ |
| ASML | 1/25 | WARM | $29.77 | $11.52 | 0.39x | No | ✗ |
| V | 1/26 | COLD | $7.15 | $6.73 | 0.94x | No | ✓ |
| BX | 1/26 | WARM | $3.90 | $4.95 | 1.27x | Yes | ✓ |
| AXP | 1/27 | COLD | $5.53 | $16.43 | 2.97x | Yes | ✗ |
| AMD | 1/31 | COLD | $5.71 | $9.49 | 1.66x | Yes | ✗ |
| CAT | 1/31 | WARM | $13.05 | $9.21 | 0.71x | No | ✗ |
| XOM | 1/31 | WARM | $4.60 | $2.45 | 0.53x | No | ✗ |
| PFE | 1/31 | COLD | $2.13 | $0.61 | 0.29x | No | ✓ |
| SMCI | 1/31 | COLD | $11.28 | $7.41 | 0.66x | No | ✓ |
| MCD | 1/31 | COLD | $9.01 | $3.49 | 0.39x | No | ✓ |
| UPS | 1/31 | WARM | $10.58 | $8.26 | 0.78x | No | ✓ |
| META | 2/01 | HOT | $14.24 | $35.65 | 2.50x | Yes | ✓ |
| ELF | 2/1 | COLD | $6.74 | $8.78 | 1.30x | Yes | ✗ |
| AAPL | 2/2 | COLD | $7.13 | $3.68 | 0.52x | No | ✓ |
| AMZN | 2/2 | HOT | $10.56 | $9.52 | 0.90x | No | ✗ |
| GOOGL | 2/2 | HOT | $8.97 | $2.96 | 0.33x | No | ✗ |
| EL | 2/2 | COLD | $20.17 | $12.39 | 0.61x | No | ✓ |
| MSTR | 2/2 | COLD | $2.21 | $0.73 | 0.33x | No | ✓ |
| DECK | 2/2 | COLD | $6.96 | $1.16 | 0.17x | No | ✓ |
| HON | 2/2 | WARM | $6.73 | $0.66 | 0.10x | No | ✗ |
| RCL | 2/7 | WARM | $5.05 | $4.92 | 0.97x | No | ✓ |
| ENPH | 2/07 | WARM | $29.11 | $9.59 | 0.33x | No | ✗ |
| PEP | 2/8 | COLD | $4.39 | $1.62 | 0.37x | No | ✓ |
| WYNN | 2/8 | COLD | $4.67 | $0.08 | 0.02x | No | ✓ |
| APP | 2/8 | COLD | $2.52 | $0.17 | 0.07x | No | ✓ |
| HOOD | 2/8 | COLD | $1.33 | $0.08 | 0.06x | No | ✓ |
| NET | 2/9 | WARM | $7.63 | $1.93 | 0.25x | No | ✗ |
| PYPL | 2/9 | HOT | $6.22 | $2.38 | 0.38x | No | ✗ |
| CAR | 2/13 | COLD | $36.39 | $23.50 | 0.65x | No | ✓ |
| ABNB | 2/14 | COLD | $11.43 | $4.45 | 0.39x | No | ✓ |
| ROKU | 2/15 | WARM | $10.23 | $7.08 | 0.69x | No | ✗ |
| SHOP | 2/15 | WARM | $4.86 | $3.28 | 0.67x | No | ✗ |
| DDOG | 2/16 | COLD | $9.35 | $6.25 | 0.67x | No | ✓ |
| PANW | 2/21 | COLD | $13.50 | $2.39 | 0.18x | No | ✓ |
| COIN | 2/21 | COLD | $13.56 | $3.13 | 0.23x | No | ✓ |
| WMT | 2/21 | HOT | $2.34 | $0.30 | 0.13x | No | ✗ |
| NVDA | 2/22 | COLD | $13.89 | $29.10 | 2.10x | Yes | ✗ |
| BIDU | 2/22 | COLD | $10.38 | $3.70 | 0.36x | No | ✓ |
| CVNA | 2/23 | COLD | $2.57 | $1.19 | 0.46x | No | ✓ |
| BABA | 2/23 | WARM | $5.81 | $0.62 | 0.11x | No | ✗ |
| NEM | 2/23 | WARM | $1.68 | $0.03 | 0.02x | No | ✗ |
| FSLR | 2/28 | COLD | $12.33 | $26.54 | 2.15x | Yes | ✗ |
| TGT | 2/28 | HOT | $14.81 | $1.69 | 0.11x | No | ✗ |
| ROST | 2/28 | WARM | $8.16 | $0.13 | 0.02x | No | ✗ |
| ANF | 3/1 | WARM | $4.07 | $0.07 | 0.02x | No | ✗ |
| DLTR | 3/1 | HOT | $12.92 | $2.84 | 0.22x | No | ✗ |
| SNOW | 3/1 | WARM | $18.84 | $19.12 | 1.01x | Yes | ✓ |
| MRVL | 3/2 | COLD | $4.18 | $2.19 | 0.52x | No | ✓ |
| DELL | 3/2 | COLD | $3.29 | $0.38 | 0.12x | No | ✓ |
| COST | 3/2 | WARM | $22.41 | $10.43 | 0.47x | No | ✗ |
| AVGO | 3/2 | COLD | $3.12 | $3.41 | 1.09x | Yes | ✗ |
| CRWD | 3/7 | COLD | $13.80 | $3.99 | 0.29x | No | ✓ |
| DKS | 3/7 | WARM | $10.24 | $14.65 | 1.43x | Yes | ✓ |
| MDB | 3/8 | HOT | $34.04 | $19.13 | 0.56x | No | ✗ |
| ULTA | 3/9 | COLD | $33.63 | $1.25 | 0.04x | No | ✓ |
| DOCU | 3/9 | HOT | $7.93 | $14.72 | 1.86x | Yes | ✓ |
| DG | 3/16 | WARM | $8.55 | $9.73 | 1.14x | Yes | ✓ |
| LULU | 3/28 | WARM | $24.58 | $40.73 | 1.66x | Yes | ✓ |
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