Expected Move Performance — Q3 2026
In Q3 2026, 27% of HOT-rated earnings exceeded their expected move, vs. 36% for the broader market — an edge of -9 pts. COLD-rated names stayed under their expected move 63% of the time.
- HOT delivered: 4/15
- WARM delivered: 14/28
- COLD stayed under: 22/35
- Total tracked: 78
Past Quarters Results
Numbers on these pages are frozen historical results — badges computed as of each ticker's report date.
2026
Q1 2026
73 tracked
🔥 HOT
25%
(-11)
🌡️ WARM
41%
(+5)
❄️ COLD
63%
Q2 2026
74 tracked
🔥 HOT
40%
(+4)
🌡️ WARM
49%
(+13)
❄️ COLD
74%
Q3 2026
78 tracked
🔥 HOT
27%
(-9)
🌡️ WARM
50%
(+14)
❄️ COLD
63%
2025
Q1 2025
73 tracked
🔥 HOT
45%
(-2)
🌡️ WARM
72%
(+25)
❄️ COLD
52%
Q2 2025
73 tracked
🔥 HOT
23%
(+0)
🌡️ WARM
41%
(+18)
❄️ COLD
86%
Q3 2025
73 tracked
🔥 HOT
64%
(+17)
🌡️ WARM
50%
(+3)
❄️ COLD
46%
Q4 2025
73 tracked
🔥 HOT
50%
(+12)
🌡️ WARM
60%
(+22)
❄️ COLD
72%